If the polls are right, there’ll be a change in majority government on 4 July. If so, there’ll likely be a Budget later in July, which due to the stretched public finances and Labour ambitions, is expected to increase taxes for some. [EDIT: Labour has confirmed there won't be an emergency Budget in July].

What actions might you take before 4 July to help ensure you’re not caught out by these changes?

Today's spring Budget 2024 was a worker's Budget. There were many changes encouraging us back into work. Not just the reductions in National Insurance but also aiming to deal with certain perceived unfairness to help us all feel better about bothering to turn up:

With Covid, several Prime Ministers and Chancellors and the run up to a general election, changes to the tax system have been numerous and we can expect more in 2024.

What can we see on the horizon and how should you react?

This was very much about 'making work pay' and aiming to improve productivity. Important though national insurance tax reductions are to help sole traders and partnerships, they do nothing to help those caught by frozen thresholds or running small limited companies.

Sole traders and partners

With Class 2 national insurance abolished and Class 4 national insurance reduced by 1% from April 2024 but dividend tax unchanged, more businesses may decide to remain as sole traders rather than incorporate or even prefer to disincorporate.

When you add in that the cash basis will become the default way to measure tax profits from April 2024 (for any size sole trader) together with the previously known companies house reforms requiring more company information to be made public, the government clearly wants small businesses to stay as sole traders unless they're large enough to embrace being a limited company in full.